In the reference forecast, as well as in the variants with life extension of German nuclear power plants,
the specification of the EU directive on energy efficiency is maintained to reduce the 2008-2016 final energy consumption by 9%. This is possible because Germany has already taken action early
for the efficient use of energy.
the specification of the EU directive on energy efficiency is maintained to reduce the 2008-2016 final energy consumption by 9%. This is possible because Germany has already taken action early
for the efficient use of energy.
be also achieved the targets for the development of renewable energies near or even slightly exceeded.
Given the widespread political support of renewable energies, the extended use of nuclear power virtually no effect on the share of renewable energies in gross, in the Heat and electricity production and for biofuels.
Given the widespread political support of renewable energies, the extended use of nuclear power virtually no effect on the share of renewable energies in gross, in the heat production and electricity production and for biofuels.
will not achieve the national goal of doubling by 2020 the share of cogeneration in electricity production from 1990 to 25%, just as the goal of "doubling energy productivity" between 1990 and 2020.
However, this is very ambitious target for the period from 2005 to 2020 annual energy productivity growth of around 3% ahead, while were conducted between 1990 and 2008 an average of only 1.84% achieved.
Against the backdrop of a currently dwindling contribution of indigenous energy sources and increasing climate protection efforts, the energy forecast estimates 2009 for supply and demand for power in Germany in 2030 and is taking a view at 2050. The energy in the 2009 forecast made quantitative statements are to be understood as a likely development
of energy consumption and supply in Germany, if put in the energy- develop and climate policy frameworks and measures its impact and assumptions as to arrive
the development of uncertain factors, such as the price of oil, would.
of energy consumption and supply in Germany, if put in the energy- develop and climate policy frameworks and measures its impact and assumptions as to arrive
the development of uncertain factors, such as the price of oil, would.
is pursued through an integrated, model-based analysis approach that is abbildet.Damit the German energy markets as part of the European energy system of embedding the German energy supply in the European single market, but also take into account as the proper recording of the effects of trans-national, EU further regulatory approaches, such as the European Emissions Trading Scheme.
As part of this integrative analysis approach Two alternative future paths of energy supply in Germany analyzed, which differ only in one respect: The reference forecast is from the legally regulated nuclear phase-out, whereas it is assumed in two variants to extend the term of the existing German nuclear power plants to 40 or 60 years.
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Energy forecast for 2009 was accompanied by a group of scientists with many years experience in modeling and scenario analysis. The task of this group was the accompanying scientific methods and contents unbiased advice. The focus was on the plausibility of the forecast.
Source: Institute of Energy Economics and Rational Use of Energy (IER), University of Stuttgart
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